Revenue CAGR
Measures annualised revenue growth across exact periods.
XNYS: MCD
McDonald’s Corporation
McDonald’s franchises and operates restaurants serving food and beverages in more than 100 countries. It earns revenue from sales at company-operated restaurants and rent, royalties and fees from franchisees. Based on FY2025 annual report
20 annual reportsFY2006–FY2025 evidence window12 calculated metricsFY2006–FY2025 metric coverage
Research hypothesis
The Value Loop
A causal structure to investigate—not a conclusion or investment recommendation.
- 01
Customer value
Products and services that solve recurring needsThe hypothesis remains subject to evidence and alternative explanations.
- 02
Competitive position
Capabilities that may reinforce relevanceThe hypothesis remains subject to evidence and alternative explanations.
- 03
Economic output
Revenue, margins and cash generationThe hypothesis remains subject to evidence and alternative explanations.
- 04
Reinvestment
Capital allocated to durable capabilitiesThe hypothesis remains subject to evidence and alternative explanations.
- 05
Per-share value
Returns and resilient per-share growthThe hypothesis remains subject to evidence and alternative explanations.
Failure condition: the loop weakens if reinvestment no longer produces durable per-share growth, cash generation and attractive capital returns.
Research lens 01
Growth
Test whether expansion compounds on a per-share basis.
Revenue per Share CAGR
Connects growth with the verified share basis.
Share Count CAGR
Separates economic change from stock splits.
Research lens 02
Profitability & cash
Connect operating economics to free cash flow without hiding capital intensity.
Operating Margin
Revenue retained after operating costs.
FCF Margin
Cash generation after capital expenditure.
FCF Conversion
Free cash flow compared with net income.
Research lens 03
Capital efficiency
Measure returns on the capital employed in the business.
ROIC
Annual and multi-year evidence.
Incremental ROIC
Return generated by additional capital.
ROIC–WACC Proxy Spread
A comparison using explicit assumptions.
Research lens 04
Allocation & resilience
Observe reinvestment, distributions and financial resilience.
Capex % Revenue
Share Count CAGR
Cash Dividend Payout
Net Debt to EBITDA
Financial evidence
Trace every important number
Review the original filings, financial inputs and calculations behind each observation.
Risks & alternative explanations
What could weaken the thesis?
These prompts keep the research falsifiable.
Competitive pressure
Could alternatives weaken relevance, economics or returns?
Capital intensity
Could growth absorb more cash than expected?
Evidence before conviction.
CompoundValueLoop presents evidence for independent judgment; it does not recommend, rank or predict.
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